This year there will not be an "official kickoff" for real speculation as I don't know why Ladbrokes kept open bets on the Nobel all year! Right now there is a list of 27 names, which indicates nothing and for sure will grow when the right time approaches (probably late August).
Now for this year's prize let's take in consideration since Englund arrived as permanent secretary, it seems the Academy is paying their debts off:
2010, Spanish language 2011, A Poet and a Swedish 2012, A Far Asian writter 2013, Short story
And of course, the biggest debt for this year would be with the US, but I don't see it coming; no back to back English language winners.