Literatur » Nobel Prize Levelling and Saturation

Hello Guys,

I have been thinking over something about the Nobel Prize for Literature. I think most people would be in agreement that from the pool of living writers who are good enough to win, only a few will actually win the award. There's a fair few writers over 80 who, looking like it, will probably never get the award because of this imbalance of one award per year. But then, say in 10-20 years, the authors who are 80 now will probably be gone, does that mean that given a certain time-frame the Nobel might reach a stage where they could theoretically award everyone 'worthy' of the Nobel?

I mean, my reasoning might be a bit off here, but surely 'great' writers do not just magically come into existence every year thus you could reach a plateau between the appearance of 'Nobel' writers and the giving out of the award? And so long as the giving out the award worked at a faster pace than new possible recipients, it seems to me there could be a time where all (or most) writers of a certain calibre were never overlooked.

And perhaps from that, more controversially, what do you guys think then of the chances the Academy might go back to giving out the prize to multiple recipients?

Thanks

I didn't find the right solution from the internet.
References:
- http://www.worldliteratureforum.com/foru...-and-Saturation
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